Timeline
May 1992: UN Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC) The original goal of the convention was to stabilise
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by Annex 1 countries(developed countries and those with
economies in transition) at 1990 levels by 2000. It also included an idea of joint
implementation(JI) to reach this goal. Although different from both CDM and JI
as it is known today, it was the first sign of an emissions trading scheme from which the
CDM would later develop. 'JI' was originally proposed by Norway but it was the former Bush
administration of the US s that strongly proposed to incorporate this JI in
the UNFCCC at such an early stage. From now on, the stage was set for debate on ways for
countries around the world to reduce, and help each other reduce, ghg emissions into the
global commons. There are now 188 signatories to the unfccc plus the European Union.
March 1995 - First Conference of the
Parties to the UNFCCC (COP-1) - Berlin. Negotiators decide to start
activities implemented jointly (AIJ), which would be a pilot phase of the us
proposal of joint implementation. Projects under AIJ would have to be: 1)
additional to what would otherwise occur; 2) voluntary - credits gained from the pilot
phase with aij between annex 1 and non-annex 1 parties would not be seen as
the fulfilment of the concurrent commitments of Annex 1 parties under Art. 4.2(b) of the
unfccc to return individually or jointly to 1990 levels. cop-1 decided to have a
comprehensive review of the pilot phase no later than the year 2000.
May 1997 - Brazilian proposal for a Clean Development
Fund(CDF) released. Was based upon the principle of penalizing the
non-complying Annex-1 countries and using a percentage of this financial penalty to
compensate the non-Annex 1 countries who were mostly vulnerable to the vagaries of global
climate change. It had a number of similarities to the present day CDM ; but the biggest
difference was that the CDF concept includes financial penalties to Annex 1 parties for
non-compliance. Annex 1 parties did not accept such a concept.
June 1997 - the US senate adopt the so-called Byrd-Hagel resolution.
This stated that the Kyoto Protocol, or any subsequent international climate change
agreement, should not "(a) mandate new commitments to limit or
reduce ghg emissions for the Annex 1 Parties, unless the Protocol also mandates new
specific scheduled commitments to limit or reduce ghg emissions for developing country
Parties within the same compliance period, or (b) would result in serious
harm to the economy of the US . . . " Under such domestic conditions, the only and
ultimate instruments the Clinton/Gore administration could rely on in order to
agree on some quantified target were the inclusion of market-based instruments such
as emissions trading and joint implementation. This would mean they would be strong
proponents of the idea during Kyoto.
December 1997 COP3 - Kyoto, Japan delegates agree to a Protocol to
the UNFCCC (the Kyoto Protocol). This commits Annex 1 countries to achieve quantified
emissions reduction targets, an average of 5.2% below 1990 levels between 2008-2012. The
Protocol covers 6 greenhouse gases: Carbon dioxide (co2), Methane (ch4),
Nitrous Oxide (n2o), Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCS), Perfluorocarbons (PCFS), and Sulphur
hexafluoride (SF6). Three flexible mechanisms are included in the Protocol to assist in
these reductions: an Emissions Trading System; Joint Implementation; and the CDM(which was
included in the last minute through the final night, as the Kyoto surprise).
CDM filled the gap between Annex 1 and non-Annex 1 parties (the US joint
implementation, and the Brazilian CDF). The intrinsic nature of the mechanism is a win-win
solution fostered from the original concept in the convention to help Annex 1
countries to reduce their emissions while at the same time promote sustainable development
in the non-Annex 1 country. The innovative interpretation allows the Brazilian CDF concept
to be transformed into a mechanism promoting market-based investment, instead of
penalizing the Annex 1 parties financially.
The Protocol would only come into force if it has been ratified by 55 parties to the
unfccc, including industrialised countries responsible for at least 55 percent of the
emissions of the industrialised countries in 1990.
June 1998 Bonn, Germany The subsidiary body for implementation
(SBI) and the Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technical Advice (SBSTA) met
to lay the ground for COP-4 scheduled for November. By now, 39 parties had signed the
Kyoto protocol, those emitting 39 percent of all industrialised countries emissions.
The CDM agenda here was to rush through the rules and guidelines so that "real
trading" could begin. When Australia mentioned, "scientific evidence indicates
that actions by Annex 1 countries alone would be insufficient," the US added
that this was clearly due to the small number of parties involved. Responding to
this, G-77 and China said that the second review by COP-4 must respect the unfccc mandate,
and not be distracted by superfluous considerations of "new" commitments for
developing countries.
What is interesting was the complete divorce of this political review process from the
science of global change. The first review of the Kyoto Protocol was expected at best
around 2004-2005, too late to link science with politics.
November 1998 COP4 - Buenos Aires, Argentina Buenos Aires Plan
of Action. US-led developed countries try to ensure that ceilings on non-domestic
emission curbs do not materialise. Buenos Aires Plan of Action includes deadlines on a
number of issues: Financial mechanisms - which will assist the developing world to respond
to the challenges related to climate change; Development and transfer of technologies;
Rules governing the Kyoto Mechanisms with priority given to the Clean Development
Mechanism.
November 2000 COP6- The Hague, Netherlands Talks
fail miserably. The negotiations with G-77 and China are deadlocked mainly over the issues
of finance and technology transfer. US negotiators use trick and treat tactics to break
down opposition of developing countries to CDM (promoting it as a synonym for overseas
investment). Some southern negotiators are still picking holes in the various rules and
definitions of CDM , while most parties wanted the trading mechanism to begin as fast as
possible. What compromises will have to be made? The G-77 and China will also want the us
to participate but for another reason. Without the US, the largest buyer of
emission credits, the trade under CDM is also expected to shrink.
Experts analysis of
COP-6>>:
2001 March US withdrawal from the Kyoto protocol US
maintains that it is not in its economic interest. To meet its Kyoto targets, the US would
need to reduce its emissions by 33 percent over 1990 levels at the very least. For the
protocol to now come into effect without the us, the eu will need Russia and the countries
in transition and either Japan or Canada and Australia together to ratify. This pivotal
position means that they have consistently managed to get concessions from developing
countries and the eu, which are more interested in getting the protocol into force in the
face of us opposition. The impact of the us withdrawal on CDM will be huge, with the
worlds largest polluter, and hence largest potential buyer of CERS's would no longer
feature in the market.
June 2001 Pronk proposals
Jan Pronk, Dutch Environment Minister. Releases proposals for COP-7 to try to get
Japan on board, mainly with the inclusion and broadening of carbon sinks under
the protocol, which would allow Annex-1 an easy way of meeting their emissions targets. He
also gives another sop to industrialised countries by allowing them to accumulate
surplus cers to meet reduction obligations in the second commitment period. This provision
means industrialised countries can now buy emission reductions credits at throwaway prices
from developing countries and bank them for future use. But developing countries, having
sold cheap ways of reducing emissions, will be forced to take recourse to expensive
methods when it is their turn to reduce in the future. The bottom line is that the many
compromises will make the Kyoto protocol not even worth the paper it is written on. The
Kyoto protocol is a grand fudge account where every polluter is working overtime to make
sure that it is business as usual, if not better. In all this, the role of the G-77 sand
China has been pathetic. They have shown little political sagacity in the negotiations.
Instead, each COP sees this largest grouping of countries squabbling over funds and
technology transfer discussions in which they have never won anything, except for
empty promises. This group of most vulnerable countries was ineffective at articulating
its position.
July 2001 - COP-6 resumes - Bonn Germany- Environmentalists
angry at the loophole on LULUCF (land-use, land-use change and forestry) put up placards
on small bushes and potted plants in the conference centre saying, "do not touch.
This is an Australian sink."
US withdrawal has driven negotiations under the UNFCCC to a feverish pitch. The world
now has two options convolute the climate treaty to meet US demands (including the
one that countries like China and India take on legally binding commitments), or go
without the US, the worlds largest polluter.
EU at last decides to part ways with the US. Swedish prime minister and host Goeran
Persson said that the EU would stick with the Kyoto treaty. "Kyoto is not meaningless
without the US," defended Persson, "because it is the first step." All
these countries want concessions in the use of sinks using forests, grazing lands
and croplands to sequester carbon dioxide to meet their commitments. Sinks have,
therefore, become the battle ground to make or break the Kyoto pact. And each one of these
countries is working hard to get the maximum concessions possible in this great bargain.
Japan is key Russia and Ukraine and the EU account for about 53 percent. It is the
last two percent that is difficult.
October/November 2001 COP-7 The Marrakesh Accords:
170 countries agree on rules to implement the 1997 Kyoto protocol, but agreement has no
teeth. The Accords set out building blocks for decisions under the Protocol and UNFCCC,
including the flexibility mechanisms(CDM, Joint implementation and Emissions trading), and
tries to build over the political agreement reached at Bonn in July. This marks the
beginning of a new phase of action and implementation, if a little diluted. This should
pave the way for the ratification of the protocol before the end of 2002, a self-imposed
deadline to ensure that nations have necessary policies and legislations in place to
reduce emissions when the first five-year commitment period commences in 2008. Welcome
decision was that industrialised countries would not be allowed to bank carbon dioxide
credits generated through sinks activities to meet commitment periods.
The CDM takes on a new form. It now appears that a developing country can unilaterally
start a project and sell credits to industrialised countries.
4 June 2002 - Japan ratifies the Kyoto Protocol But
with Japan on board, the agreement still only has support from countries responsible for
36% of gases. The US alone was worth 36.1% of ghg emissions in 1990. Kyoto, and CDM, are
now a significant step closer to fruition - Two months earlier was the 10th
anniversary of the UNFCCC.
October/November 2002 COP-8 (New Delhi, India) Delhi Declarations.
Informal discussions continue on developing countries future commitments. Discussions are
once again postponed on a review of how adequately industrialised countries are dealing
with climate change. CDM Executive Board set up at COP-7 presented its report to the
conference, and formed the basis of discussions. An important outcome of COP8 was to
make the Kyoto Protocols CDM fully operational. The decision also adopted the
simplified modalities and procedures for small-scale CDM project activities, which should
mean that more apply, and paved the way for possible early approval of CDM activities.
December 2003 COP-9 (Milan, Italy) Parties agree
on rules and procedures for the CDM Executive Board, and modalities and procedures for
afforestation and reforestation (A&R) activities under the CDM. The COP decides that a
CDM project activity starting between the date of adoption of decision on modalities and
procedures for the CDM and the date of the first registration of a CDM project activity
may use a crediting period starting before the date of its registration if the project
activity is submitted for registration before 31 December 2005. This means that projects
that have already begun may now apply as CDM projects.
June 2004 Twentieth Session of the Subsidiary Bodies to the UN
Framework Convention on Climate Change Parties unable to resolve issues of
bundling (clustering of small projects to decrease transaction costs), leakage (unintended
consequences of activities leading to increasing emissions in an area outside the project
boundary), definitions of low-income communities and monitoring.
The parties encourage the EB to continue to assess existing and new ways to ensure
transparency; and recalls that the use of the tool for the demonstration and
assessment of additionality is not mandatory for project participants.
They also request the SBSTA, in collaboration with the EB, to develop a recommendation
to cop/mop-1 relating to the implications of the implementation of CDM project activities
for the achievement of the objectives of other environmental conventions and protocols, in
particular the Montreal Protocol.
October 22 2004 Russia ratifies the Protocol. The Kyoto
protocol can now be enforced and CDM is underway. Without the US and Russia, Annex 1
ratifications would only represent 47 percent of their emissions, and this is insurricient
for entry into force. With Russia, it is now 64 percent.
27 October 2004 - EU linking directive with JI/CDM This
allows the conversion of CER's into European Union Allowances (EUAS) thereby making
companies in the EU a whole new set of buyers for CER's. Previously, European companies
would not have used CER's. ERU's from JI are allowed into the EU as of 2008 which means
competition for CDM projects.
December 2004 COP-10 (Buenos Aires, Argentina) Parties
gathered to complete the unfinished business from the Marrakesh accords. Nicknamed
the adaptation COP. Adaptation - what we going to do once global warming
happens are the main focus of discussions. The fact that the COP is focused on what
will happen when the Protocol that the Conference of the Parties rests on, does not work,
does not bear well for CDM.
Feb 16 2005 Kyoto protocol enters into force. The
Executive Board can now start registering projects.
Oct 20, 2005 - The first CER's are issued.
"RIO BLANCO small hydro project",Honduras receives 7,304 CER's and
"La Esperanza Hydroelectric Project", Honduras receives 2,210 CER's
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