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CoP-8/UNFCCC   SPECIAL EDITION 1

October 23, 2002


What’s hot at CoP-8

1. Adequacy of commitments (Second review of the adequacy of Article 4.2(a) and (b))

Article 4.2 (a) of the UNFCCC
Each of these (developed country) parties shall adopt national policies and take corresponding measures on the mitigation of climate change, by limiting its anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases and protecting and enhancing its greenhouse gas sinks and reservoirs…

Article 4.2 (b) of the UNFCCC
In order to promote progress to this end, each of these Parties shall communicate, within six months of entry into force of the Convention for it and periodically thereafter, and with accordance with Article 12, detailed information on its policies and measures referred to in subparagraph (a) above…. This information will be reviewed by the Conference of Parties, and its first session and periodically thereafter, in accordance with Article 7.

Any agenda item not agreed upon at one CoP session is automatically placed on the provisional agenda for the next. Thus the second review of the adequacy of Article 4.2(a) and (b) is included as an item on the provisional agenda for CoP- 8.

The basic controversy is whether inadequacy implies failure of the industrialised countries to fulfill their commitments or should be interpreted as opening up a discussion on commitments for developing countries.

2. Clean Development Mechanism
In the last round of talks on climate change (November, 2001) an Executive Board (EB) was set up to decide the rules for CDM projects. The EB has met five times since then. The sixth meeting of the EB will be held on October 23-24, 2002 at the Sheraton Hotel in New Delhi. At this meeting, the Board will accredit "Operational Entities" to validate proposed CDM projects, check that the project reduces emissions additional to what could have been achieved by the developing country itself and monitor the operation of the project. It will also discuss how to simplify procedures to encourage small-scale projects.

CDM will come up for discussion at CoP-8, where definitions and rules for projects to qualify as CDM projects are to be developed. Rules for including afforestation and reforestation activities in the CDM for the first commitment period have to be finalised for adoption at CoP-9.

CDM and sinks
Sinks are land, forests and oceans which absorb carbon dioxide and act as reservoirs. At CoP-7 in Marrakech, it was decided that industrialised countries could use credits from sink projects to meet up to 1 per cent of their reduction targets.

The use of sinks projects under CDM remains controversial. Greenhouse gases may be re-released if a sink is damaged (for example if a forest burns down). This leads to uncertainties regarding the permanence of the project. It is also difficult to certify the "additionality" of a forestry project — i.e. would it have occurred anyway, irrespective of CDM. Similarly, a forest project could displace the local
population of the area and increase emissions in the area to which they shift their activities — a problem defined as a ‘leakage’.

Strong rules for permanence, additionality, leakage, assessing the impact on the local population, and measures to reduce uncertainty need to be applied. Otherwise CDM would just end up being a cheap way for industrialised countries to meet their targets without making any changes domestically.

3. Adaptation
Some climatic changes are already inevitable — even if the Kyoto Protocol is fully implemented, in fact, even if the world stops using fossil fuel tomorrow. Developing countries will bear the brunt of these impacts. Therefore, these countries would like a discussion on how the industrialised countries will help them adapt better to these changes.

At CoP-6 in Bonn in 2001, three funds were set up: the Special Climate Fund (finance measures for adaptation, technology transfers and economic diversification), the Adaptation Fund (apart from taking two per cent off the proceeds from CDM projects, industrialised countries are merely invited to contribute towards this fund) and the Least Developed Countries Fund. The Global Environment Facility (GEF) operates all three. The Adaptation Fund literally amounts to taxing the poor to help the poor — taking away a share of their profits from CDM to help them cope with a problem that is largely the creation of industrialised countries.

Fact is, developing countries have received very little technology or finance from the rich countries to help them better adapt. Many of them, including India, therefore want the focus to shift from climate change mitigation issues to effectively addressing adaptation.

4. Canada’s proposal to get credits for cleaner energy exports Canadian ratification is crucial for the Kyoto Protocol to come into effect. Seizing the advantage, Canada has come up with a ludicrous proposal. Canada claims it should get credit because it exports "cleaner" gaseous fuels and hydroelectricity to the US (the US, therefore, uses less coal and that helps the atmosphere). If this proposal is allowed, it will gift Canada an additional emission allowance of 70 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per year (70 MtCO2e/year). This would enable Canada’s emissions to rise by another 11.4 per cent relative to its 1990 baseline, resulting in a net increase of 14.6 per cent above 1990, instead of the required 6 per cent reduction. It would also set a precedent for countries to demand credits for all kinds of exports, such as more fuel-efficient cars.

"The US always wins"
Excerpts of an interview with Michael Zammit Cutajar, former Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.

6.JPG "I would say that unless and until the Kyoto Protocol enters into force, until that happens it is no use talking at all about developing countries commitments. Indeed, if I were a developing country negotiator, I would wait to see serious steps taken by industrialised countries towards meeting commitment."

"One of the questions I would have is why did Clinton go and agree to the Kyoto Protocol when he knew that the US senate wouldn’t ratify? The problem with the US is this that you are never quite sure if we have a valid interlocutor, somebody who can deliver on a deal. And that is true not just of the environmental treaties. Added to which is the general reluctance of the US to sign up to an international treaty. The list of treaties it hasn’t signed is very long. Its pattern of behaviour is to negotiate a treaty, and then not ratify it, but act in accordance with it on the side."

" I am a soccer fan. Some people who once coined a phrase to describe international football said that two men chase a ball and Germany always wins. Now I can describe the international climate change negotiations as 180 countries chasing a ball and the US always wins. Typically, the US always wins vis-à-vis the EU and Japan. To put it very clearly, vis-à-vis the EU. They tend to stick up on different positions and then the EU has to concede because otherwise they lose US. This is again not just climate but in general."

"I remember at the time of the convention negotiations, it was my first exposure to this and one of the clear guidelines of the then Chairman of the negotiations was that we must have a deal with the US in. If we have a much better deal with the US out, what’s the point? So the US does always win. Maybe with some pushing and pulling, not always being concessional, trying to get the US strategically, that is the way out until you have some countervailing force in the world that can bring the US on board. That is the long-term strategy."

"The Kyoto protocol is made in the USA. It may be rejected but it is made in the USA. "


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